Monday, January 21, 2008

Tariffs are Futile!

The international complexity and scale of China's growing influence means that imposing tariffs on goods "Made in China" would probably hurt the U.S. more than it hurt China. The fact is that as the United States has established factories and businesses in China, China has established factories and businesses in places like Africa. By outsourcing the final process of production for an item, the Chinese can make money off of something even without the "Made in China" label. On top of that, the "Chinese price" creates competition that drives prices down across the world, leading to cheaper goods for American consumers. If the Chinese goods were taken out of American stores, prices would rise for consumers. Additionally, through everyday trade the Chinese have amassed a wealth of U.S. dollars . Once the government obtains this cash, they turn around and invest in U.S. bonds. By investing huge sums of money in U.S. bonds, the Chinese keep American interest rates low and encourage more spending. Essentially, the Chinese are allowing U.S. citizens and their government to borrow money at a low interest rate. United States consumers fuel Chinese economic growth and Chinese economic growth keeps interest rates low, which fuels U.S. consumer spending.

Will this cycle end? Is there any way to modify the cycle? How can the U.S. government maintain its independence from a country with such strong economic ties to America?

With the upcoming election in the U.S., voters should remember that the war on terror is not the only international issue facing politicians. Voters should be asking candidates: What is your stance on China?

1 comment:

Interact Board said...

In China itself, merchants actually play on the American concept of a "low" price to make even more money. I was in China this past summer, and my tour group was constantly haggled by shopkeepers and streetvenders selling Mao Ze-dong watches or paper fans or other similar items. Our tour guide taught us how to bargain, but ultimately, she said that because we were white, we would never get as good a price. She also said not to be convinced by common tactics like "but I have a family at home", "you are robbing me blind", "I'm going to cry, you're going to make me cry", and sure enough, we heard these same English phrases time and again. In China, merchants frequently ask for a price ten or twenty times the amount they expect to sell a product for, and the expected sell price is much higher that what they paid for it. This huge price disparity from creation to purchase astounded me; I can't imagine the factory conditions (which, of course, we weren't allowed to see) under which a decorative fan can be manufactured for a few cents. I am curious to follow your research as you explore the business relations between the US and China.

--K